2022 - SPECIAL REPORT - UKRAINE'S FIGHT FOR FREEDOM & ALLIED AND GLOBAL RESPONSE TO RUSSIA'S WAR

Rick LARSEN (United States)

06 December 2022

Russia’s illegal and brutal military invasion of Ukraine on 24 February 2022 represents a tectonic shift in international affairs that will fundamentally affect the global security landscape. Ukraine stands at the frontline of the democratic world pushing back against a revisionist wave of authoritarian powers’ assault on the rules-based international order. While NATO is not a party to this war, Allies and their partners have a geopolitical stake and a moral duty to support the Ukrainian defense effort. The Alliance also has a duty to reassure its members and bolster its defense and deterrence posture.

This draft report outlines the variables leading to Russia’s full invasion on the morning of 24 February 2022. It then reviews the evolution of the war’s now three distinct phases, as well as the parallel evolution of the coordinated Allied and partner assistance supporting Ukraine’s legitimate self-defense against Russian aggression. It then takes stock of the war’s impact on the humanitarian situation in the country. Further, it reviews the impact of the unprecedent levels of punishing sanctions on Russia’s ability to prosecute the war, while looking at the role the evolving strategic Russia-China partnership has in mitigating the impact of sanctions and global opprobrium upon Russia. It concludes with a series of recommendations for Allies and partners to consider, among them: the continued immediate provision of military and financial aid to further Ukraine’s current advantage on the battlefield; the maintenance and tightening of the increasingly impactful sanctions regimes; increased political and diplomatic support for Ukraine’s cause globally; and, ways to consider ensuring the survival and strengthening of Ukraine’s democracy and future Euro-Atlantic integration.


 


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